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Admin16.08.2021

Recession Indicators Series, Release Date: 2021

Depending on the application, the extrema, both individually and collectively, may be included in the recession period in whole or in part.
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Admin02.09.2021

Recession Indicators Series, Release Date: 2021

The recession shading data that we provide initially comes from the source as a list of dates that are either an economic peak or trough.
5103
Admin17.08.2021

NBER based Recession Indicators for the United States from the Period following the Peak through the Trough

Here is a close-up of the average since 2000.
Admin17.06.2021

Recession Indicators Series, Release Date: 2021

The basis for this decision was the length and strength of the recovery to date.
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Admin20.07.2021

Recession Indicators: hyundai.multitvsolution.com Quite Strong

In order to use nominal quantities, you would need a time-varying estimate of the Federal Reserve's inflation target.
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Admin28.08.2021

Business Cycle Dating Committee Announcement July 19, 2021

The general method to produce an implied recession probability from a forecast has the following steps.
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Admin07.07.2021

NBER based Recession Indicators for the United States from the Peak through the Trough (USRECDM)

For monthly and quarterly data, the entire peak and trough periods are included in the recession shading.
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Admin30.08.2021

NBER Recession Indicators

For daily data, the recession begins on the first day of the month of the peak and ends on the last day of the month preceding the trough.
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Admin13.06.2021

It's official: The Covid recession lasted just two months, the shortest in U.S. history

Independent variables in logits estimated for earlier SPF surveys have similar significance.
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Admin05.08.2021

NBER based Recession Indicators for the United States from the Peak through the Trough

This series also reached a clear trough in April 2020.
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Admin18.07.2021

GDP

While data and estimates exist for the federal funds rate target from 1982 to the present, the federal funds rate target is unknown from 1965 to 1981.
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Admin19.08.2021

It's official: The Covid recession lasted just two months, the shortest in U.S. history

And finally, for sharp-eyed readers who can don't mind squinting at a lot of data, here's a cluttered chart from 1959 to the present.
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